Any political theory is only as good as its predictive value, and if the iron law of rebellious tools is of value, it should provide robust predictions.
If you could transport back in time to the civil rights era with no knowledge but the iron law, then you could predict the utter failure of resistance. Simply monitor the direction of the foundations and elite donors are you have a predictive theory.
All things being equal, this should still hold, with only the question of lag being a variable, which should provide an answer to Jim’s question ->http://blog.jim.com/culture/crowd-sourcing-the-question-how-recent-are-open-borders/
The records are online ->https://www.fordfoundation.org/work/our-grants/
Etc, etc there is a giant torrent of money here.